Alcides vs Quick '20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
72.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 3
RKH
15%
19%
66%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SIL
1 - 0
ALC
69%
17%
14%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 2
ALV
27%
24%
49%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 3
MSC
14%
20%
66%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
BEQ
2 - 0
ALC
82%
12%
6%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Quick '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
QUI
2 - 1
ROH
78%
13%
9%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
RIG
0 - 5
QUI
11%
18%
71%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
QUI
1 - 3
BEQ
58%
21%
21%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SIL
1 - 0
QUI
21%
22%
57%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
QUI
3 - 0
ALV
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |