Alcides vs MSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
33%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
HOO
2 - 1
ALC
57%
20%
23%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 1
SJC
55%
20%
25%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
ALC
2 - 2
HOO
33%
22%
45%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
ACH
3 - 2
ALC
52%
21%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
ALC
2 - 5
BEQ
42%
22%
36%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
MSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
MSC
2 - 1
ALP
33%
21%
46%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
SDO
4 - 1
MSC
68%
17%
15%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
SIL
0 - 1
MSC
72%
16%
13%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
MSC
2 - 0
AWC
45%
22%
34%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
SDO
1 - 2
MSC
74%
15%
12%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +1 |