Alcides vs MSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
18%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
RKH
4 - 2
ALC
34%
24%
42%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
ALC
0 - 2
UDI
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ROH
5 - 2
ALC
44%
26%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ALC
4 - 1
SCN
54%
23%
24%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ALC
3 - 0
BAB
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
MSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MSC
1 - 0
HOO
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
JUL
2 - 2
MSC
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MSC
0 - 1
SWZ
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
RIG
2 - 0
MSC
57%
21%
23%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MSC
0 - 2
LON
43%
23%
34%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |