Alcides vs HSC 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
40.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
HOO
0 - 0
ALC
41%
23%
36%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
ALC
2 - 0
BAB
55%
22%
24%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
ALC
6 - 0
JOU
77%
15%
9%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
JUL
4 - 1
ALC
60%
22%
19%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
ROH
0 - 0
ALC
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
HSC 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
FVC
0 - 2
HSC
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
HSC
3 - 1
HOO
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
BEQ
1 - 2
HSC
52%
23%
25%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
HSC
2 - 0
BAB
72%
17%
12%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
LIE
1 - 2
HSC
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |