Alcides vs FVC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-65%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ACH
1 - 2
ALC
34%
24%
43%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 1
RKH
52%
22%
27%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SCN
3 - 1
ALC
39%
23%
38%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 1
QUI
37%
24%
40%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
SWZ
3 - 0
ALC
35%
24%
41%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
FVC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
FVC
1 - 3
ROH
22%
23%
56%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ARH
3 - 1
FVC
70%
17%
13%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
JUL
2 - 0
FVC
65%
19%
17%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
FVC
0 - 2
MSC
26%
22%
52%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SCN
3 - 1
FVC
60%
20%
21%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |