Alcides vs FVC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
17.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
USV
3 - 1
ALC
48%
23%
29%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ALC
2 - 1
SWZ
45%
24%
32%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ALV
1 - 1
ALC
37%
23%
40%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
ALC
2 - 2
ROH
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
DEB
2 - 4
ALC
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
FVC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
SWZ
2 - 1
FVC
66%
18%
16%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
FVC
1 - 3
ALV
46%
22%
32%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ROH
3 - 1
FVC
40%
24%
36%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
FVC
1 - 0
DEB
32%
23%
45%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
HOO
2 - 2
FVC
43%
22%
35%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |