Alcides vs FVC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
21.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
HSC
0 - 1
ALC
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 2
HOO
57%
21%
22%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
BAB
2 - 4
ALC
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
ALC
0 - 2
BEQ
36%
26%
39%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -2 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
RKH
1 - 3
ALC
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
FVC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
HSC
5 - 1
FVC
69%
18%
13%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
FVC
2 - 3
WKE
29%
24%
47%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
SWZ
2 - 4
FVC
31%
24%
45%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
FVC
0 - 0
HOO
46%
23%
32%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
BAB
3 - 0
FVC
47%
23%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |