Alcides vs Fortuna Wormerveer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
18.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
HOL
0 - 0
ALC
46%
23%
32%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
SDO
2 - 3
ALC
64%
19%
16%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
MSC
0 - 2
ALC
49%
21%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 5
DEM
32%
25%
44%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
ALC
2 - 0
PUR
49%
23%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Wormerveer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
FWO
0 - 4
SIL
36%
25%
39%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
ACH
4 - 1
FWO
51%
22%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
SIL
1 - 0
FWO
58%
20%
22%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
FWO
0 - 3
HOL
45%
22%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
DEM
1 - 0
FWO
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |