Alcides vs Babberich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 1
HOO
65%
19%
16%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
JUL
0 - 1
ALC
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 0
RKH
58%
21%
22%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
BEQ
1 - 0
ALC
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ALC
4 - 0
MSC
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Babberich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
BAB
2 - 4
MSC
59%
20%
21%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
HOO
0 - 3
BAB
48%
23%
30%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
HSC
4 - 1
BAB
71%
17%
12%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
BAB
6 - 3
HOO
53%
21%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
FVC
1 - 3
BAB
37%
24%
39%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |