Alcazar CFD vs Miguel Esteban AD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
19.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcazar CFD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
POZ
2 - 2
ALC
25%
21%
54%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
ALC
4 - 1
VIL
75%
14%
11%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
CAL
4 - 4
ALC
12%
16%
72%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
ALC
0 - 0
ATL
72%
15%
12%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
POR
1 - 3
ALC
42%
21%
37%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Miguel Esteban AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
MES
1 - 0
CDP
57%
22%
21%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
DAI
2 - 2
MES
62%
20%
17%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
MES
2 - 0
CRI
33%
25%
42%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
APU
3 - 1
MES
64%
19%
18%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
MES
0 - 1
URD
26%
24%
51%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |