Alcazar CD vs Villarcayo Nela B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
12.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+225%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcazar CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
VAD
2 - 5
ALC
27%
21%
52%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SAL
2 - 4
ALC
63%
19%
18%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CAP
3 - 1
ALC
62%
19%
19%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ALC
4 - 0
SPD
63%
19%
18%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
BUR
3 - 0
ALC
75%
15%
11%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Villarcayo Nela B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 0
SCC
48%
23%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CDR
2 - 1
VIL
85%
10%
6%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 2
JCC
11%
17%
72%
|
8 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
TRE
3 - 1
VIL
74%
15%
11%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
GRO
3 - 2
VIL
70%
17%
14%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |