Alcázar vs Capiscol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
11.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcázar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
ALB
1 - 0
ALC
9%
14%
78%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
ALC
1 - 0
TRE
90%
7%
3%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
ARA
2 - 2
ALC
27%
21%
52%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
ALC
1 - 2
INT
69%
17%
15%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
RBG
3 - 3
ALC
9%
15%
76%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Capiscol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
CAP
5 - 0
MON
66%
19%
16%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
ALB
1 - 1
CAP
28%
21%
51%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
CAP
1 - 2
GRO
46%
23%
31%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
TRE
1 - 2
CAP
20%
20%
60%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
CAP
3 - 0
CER
67%
18%
15%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |