Alcázar vs Trespaderne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.7%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.3%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9%
4.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcázar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
BEB
0 - 1
ALC
58%
21%
22%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
ALC
3 - 1
ALB
71%
16%
13%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
MON
1 - 1
ALC
14%
18%
69%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
ALC
3 - 1
CDR
32%
21%
47%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
BUR
2 - 1
ALC
60%
19%
21%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Trespaderne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
TRE
2 - 3
FRI
60%
19%
22%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CAP
2 - 2
TRE
52%
22%
26%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
TRE
2 - 0
BUR
46%
22%
32%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
FEL
0 - 1
TRE
66%
17%
17%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
BEB
5 - 0
TRE
85%
10%
4%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | -1 |