Alcázar vs San Felices analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.4%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.6%
4.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcázar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 2
CAP
72%
16%
13%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
BUR
1 - 3
ALC
9%
16%
75%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ALC
5 - 2
TRE
87%
9%
4%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
BEB
0 - 1
ALC
58%
21%
22%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
ALC
3 - 1
ALB
71%
16%
13%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
San Felices
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
FEL
1 - 0
MON
50%
21%
30%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
FEL
3 - 0
FRI
38%
21%
41%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
CDR
4 - 0
FEL
87%
9%
4%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
FEL
1 - 3
CAP
24%
20%
55%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
BUR
2 - 0
FEL
91%
7%
2%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |