Alcázar vs Capiscol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
12.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcázar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
BUR
1 - 3
ALC
9%
16%
75%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ALC
5 - 2
TRE
87%
9%
4%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
BEB
0 - 1
ALC
58%
21%
22%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
ALC
3 - 1
ALB
71%
16%
13%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
MON
1 - 1
ALC
14%
18%
69%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Capiscol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
CAP
4 - 1
FRI
57%
20%
23%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
FEL
1 - 3
CAP
24%
20%
55%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
BUR
1 - 5
CAP
33%
22%
45%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CAP
2 - 2
TRE
52%
22%
26%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
BEB
2 - 0
CAP
77%
14%
9%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |