Alcázar vs Capiscol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
23%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcázar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ALC
3 - 3
INT
64%
19%
17%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
BEL
2 - 2
ALC
60%
20%
20%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Capiscol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
BEB
0 - 1
CAP
69%
17%
14%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
CAP
0 - 2
BEL
27%
23%
51%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
FEL
2 - 2
CAP
30%
23%
47%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
CAP
2 - 1
ALB
49%
22%
29%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
QUI
4 - 1
CAP
35%
23%
43%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -2 |