Alcantarilla Thader vs CDU Malacitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
69.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcantarilla Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
PIN
0 - 1
ALC
83%
12%
5%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 2
MON
41%
23%
37%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CAR
4 - 1
ALC
82%
12%
6%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
ALC
0 - 2
CIU
15%
20%
64%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
SPO
6 - 1
ALC
80%
13%
7%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
CDU Malacitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
LAU
2 - 2
MON
81%
13%
6%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
CIU
0 - 0
LAU
27%
23%
50%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
LAU
4 - 0
ADM
83%
12%
5%
|
28 | 10 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
UDL
2 - 0
LAU
10%
18%
73%
|
31 | 10 | 21 | -3 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
LAU
2 - 2
MUL
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |