Alcantarilla Thader vs Santomera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
50.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcantarilla Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
CDA
2 - 0
ALC
76%
15%
9%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ALC
3 - 5
YEC
56%
21%
23%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
NVL
3 - 1
ALC
50%
23%
28%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ALC
3 - 4
CAR
18%
20%
62%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 3
ALC
67%
18%
15%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Santomera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 3
EFA
24%
23%
53%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
UDL
2 - 5
SAN
39%
23%
38%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 1
SPO
49%
24%
27%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CAP
2 - 1
SAN
45%
23%
32%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
PIN
1 - 0
SAN
71%
17%
12%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |