Alcantarilla Thader vs Ed Churra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
14.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcantarilla Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CDL
2 - 4
ALC
37%
24%
40%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 1
ADG
52%
22%
26%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
CFC
0 - 1
ALC
78%
14%
8%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ALC
0 - 1
CFS
13%
18%
69%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
4 - 0
ALC
82%
12%
6%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ed Churra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
EDC
1 - 3
ADG
40%
24%
36%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
CFS
3 - 0
EDC
85%
11%
5%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
EDC
0 - 2
LAU
11%
18%
71%
|
10 | 28 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
MON
1 - 0
EDC
69%
17%
14%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
EDC
3 - 0
CIU
9%
17%
73%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | +3 |