Alcantarilla Thader vs Ciudad de Cieza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
16.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcantarilla Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
BAL
2 - 0
ALC
72%
17%
12%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ALC
3 - 2
JUM
62%
19%
18%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 0
ALC
50%
22%
28%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
EFA
4 - 2
ALC
70%
17%
13%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 2
UDL
41%
22%
37%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ciudad de Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CIE
0 - 6
EFA
17%
22%
61%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
UDL
5 - 1
CIE
68%
18%
14%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CIE
0 - 3
SPO
23%
23%
54%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CAP
1 - 0
CIE
62%
20%
18%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
CIE
0 - 5
UDL
44%
24%
33%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -2 |