Alcantarilla Thader vs Ciudad De Calasparra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
64.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcantarilla Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
SPO
6 - 1
ALC
80%
13%
7%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ADM
2 - 1
ALC
27%
23%
51%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ALC
4 - 2
BAL
41%
23%
36%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 1
UDL
48%
23%
29%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
EFA
9 - 0
ALC
82%
12%
6%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Ciudad De Calasparra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CIU
4 - 0
ADM
85%
11%
5%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CIU
2 - 1
UDL
83%
12%
6%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
MUL
1 - 0
CIU
53%
22%
25%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CIU
6 - 0
CDL
77%
15%
9%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
CFC
4 - 1
CIU
24%
23%
53%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | -1 |