Alcantarilla Thader vs CD Lumbreras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
57.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcantarilla Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ADG
2 - 0
ALC
80%
13%
7%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ALC
0 - 2
CFC
18%
21%
61%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CFS
6 - 0
ALC
82%
11%
6%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ALC
0 - 6
CAR
12%
20%
68%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
LAU
3 - 0
ALC
85%
11%
4%
|
9 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lumbreras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
CFC
1 - 1
CDL
54%
22%
24%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
CDL
1 - 2
CAR
22%
23%
55%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
PIN
2 - 0
CDL
81%
13%
6%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CDL
2 - 7
CAR
18%
22%
60%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 1
CDL
68%
18%
14%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |