Alcantarilla Thader vs FC Cartagena B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
67.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcantarilla Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
LAU
3 - 0
ALC
85%
11%
4%
|
9 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 3
PIN
9%
17%
74%
|
9 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
MON
4 - 2
ALC
73%
16%
11%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 3
CAR
11%
18%
71%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CIU
4 - 1
ALC
81%
13%
6%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Cartagena B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
PIN
0 - 4
CAR
73%
16%
10%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 2
CAR
43%
24%
34%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 0
CAR
39%
25%
36%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
4 - 1
BAL
72%
17%
11%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
EFA
3 - 1
CAR
41%
25%
35%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |