Alcantarilla Thader vs Caravaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
70.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcantarilla Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CIU
4 - 1
ALC
81%
13%
6%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 5
SPO
28%
24%
49%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Caravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 0
CAR
23%
23%
54%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 0
BAL
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
CAR
0 - 0
CAL
60%
23%
18%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -7 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
HOR
2 - 1
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
CAR
1 - 2
JUM
52%
25%
23%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |