Alcantarilla Thader vs Bala Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
61.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcantarilla Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
JUM
1 - 3
ALC
68%
18%
14%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
ALC
0 - 1
BAL
16%
19%
66%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ALC
2 - 3
EFA
15%
20%
65%
|
11 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
UDL
3 - 0
ALC
75%
15%
10%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
SPO
3 - 0
ALC
65%
20%
16%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
BAL
0 - 1
EFA
32%
24%
44%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
UDL
0 - 0
BAL
28%
22%
50%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 1
SPO
61%
21%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CAP
1 - 0
BAL
17%
20%
63%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
BAL
0 - 2
PIN
35%
24%
40%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |