Alcañiz vs Montecarlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcañiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 0
ACF
18%
22%
60%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
ACF
1 - 0
CDC
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 2
ACF
15%
20%
65%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
ACF
0 - 1
CDA
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
CDM
1 - 4
ACF
14%
19%
68%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
UDM
2 - 0
ATC
25%
23%
52%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CDU
2 - 2
UDM
45%
25%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
UDM
1 - 1
VAL
28%
24%
49%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
MAG
3 - 1
UDM
43%
24%
33%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
UDM
2 - 3
ALC
71%
18%
11%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |