Alcañiz vs Montecarlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
18.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcañiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
STA
1 - 2
ACF
60%
21%
19%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ACF
1 - 0
PEN
71%
17%
13%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ZUE
0 - 3
ACF
50%
24%
25%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ACF
0 - 1
UDC
63%
20%
17%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
UDP
1 - 0
ACF
27%
23%
50%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CDA
1 - 0
UDM
63%
20%
17%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
UDM
2 - 5
STA
37%
25%
38%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 1
UDM
28%
24%
48%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
UDM
5 - 3
ZUE
37%
25%
38%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
UDC
3 - 4
UDM
53%
23%
25%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |