Alcanenense vs Vitoria de Sernache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 0
CRA
77%
16%
7%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 1
ALC
19%
24%
57%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 2
VIT
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 0
SER
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ADM
1 - 1
ALC
26%
24%
51%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 2
PEN
57%
21%
22%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
UDL
5 - 1
VIT
69%
20%
11%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 2
VIT
62%
22%
16%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 0
CAL
20%
24%
56%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
SER
1 - 2
VIT
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +1 |