Alcanenense vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
68.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
BEN
3 - 0
ALC
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ALC
0 - 2
UDL
26%
25%
49%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ALC
2 - 1
ELE
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
CAL
3 - 0
ALC
51%
25%
24%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ALC
2 - 0
NAV
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
POR
1 - 1
SPC
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
SPC
1 - 1
FAR
61%
23%
17%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
FEI
1 - 1
SPC
46%
27%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
SPC
0 - 1
SCP
48%
26%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
GFC
4 - 0
SPC
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |