Alcanenense vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
51.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
UDL
2 - 0
ALC
62%
22%
16%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 0
ELE
34%
27%
40%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
FAT
4 - 0
ALC
46%
25%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
FAT
2 - 1
ALC
42%
25%
32%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 0
TOR
30%
26%
44%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SER
4 - 0
ATL
75%
17%
8%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
UDL
0 - 1
SER
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
TOR
2 - 2
SER
34%
26%
40%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SER
3 - 1
UDL
43%
27%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
SER
1 - 0
ALC
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |