Alcanenense vs Ginásio de Alcobaça analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
30.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 0
ALC
55%
24%
21%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 0
BEN
75%
16%
10%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 1
ALC
23%
23%
54%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 4
OLI
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
POM
0 - 1
ALC
46%
23%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ginásio de Alcobaça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
GDA
0 - 1
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 2
GDA
28%
24%
48%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
GDA
0 - 0
SOU
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 0
GDA
18%
22%
60%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 0
GDA
42%
26%
32%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |