Alcanenense vs Crato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.5%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
6.9%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 1
ALC
19%
24%
57%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 2
VIT
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 0
SER
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ADM
1 - 1
ALC
26%
24%
51%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 0
BEN
31%
27%
42%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CRA
1 - 1
SER
13%
21%
67%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ADM
0 - 1
CRA
78%
14%
9%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
CRA
0 - 0
BEN
13%
22%
65%
|
23 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
UDL
3 - 1
CRA
82%
13%
4%
|
23 | 58 | 35 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 4
CAL
12%
20%
68%
|
23 | 54 | 31 | 0 |