Alcanenense vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
GDR
0 - 1
ALC
20%
24%
56%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ALC
0 - 0
ANG
75%
17%
9%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 1
ALC
20%
24%
57%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 1
TOR
38%
28%
35%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
MAF
2 - 1
ALC
57%
24%
18%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 1
PRA
23%
25%
52%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CAL
3 - 1
GDR
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
ANG
0 - 1
CAL
22%
25%
52%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 1
VIL
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 0
CAL
56%
25%
20%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |