Alcanenense vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
FAT
0 - 0
ALC
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
TOR
2 - 2
ALC
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ALC
2 - 0
LOU
44%
26%
30%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ADP
1 - 2
ALC
23%
23%
55%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 2
ATL
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
CAL
0 - 2
CAR
58%
24%
18%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
FAT
1 - 1
CAL
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 1
TOR
30%
26%
44%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
LOU
0 - 0
CAL
46%
24%
30%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 0
ADP
64%
21%
15%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |