Alcanenense vs Beneditense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 1
ALC
23%
23%
54%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 4
OLI
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
POM
0 - 1
ALC
46%
23%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ALC
0 - 2
CDT
80%
13%
7%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ALC
3 - 2
PEN
73%
17%
11%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Beneditense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
BEN
0 - 3
26%
24%
51%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
BEN
64%
20%
16%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
BEN
0 - 2
SOU
22%
23%
55%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
GDA
1 - 2
BEN
78%
15%
7%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
BEN
1 - 2
CAL
21%
23%
57%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |