RSD Alcalá vs Union Collado Villalba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
8.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
GET
2 - 1
ALC
24%
27%
49%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
ALC
1 - 0
STA
63%
23%
14%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
LRZ
1 - 2
ALC
16%
25%
59%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
ALC
1 - 0
RVB
56%
26%
19%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
RMC
0 - 1
ALC
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Union Collado Villalba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
UNI
1 - 4
ADP
15%
23%
62%
|
9 | 42 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
PNT
5 - 0
UNI
77%
15%
8%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
UNI
0 - 1
SSR
19%
26%
55%
|
10 | 39 | 29 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
FUE
3 - 1
UNI
75%
17%
8%
|
10 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
UNI
2 - 4
YEB
15%
21%
65%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | 0 |