RSD Alcalá vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
58.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
MON
1 - 1
ALC
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ALC
3 - 1
GET
24%
25%
51%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
COX
1 - 1
ALC
40%
27%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 1
ALB
17%
26%
58%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
UBC
0 - 0
ALC
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
RMC
3 - 2
MAR
77%
15%
8%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
OVI
1 - 0
RMC
32%
26%
42%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
RMC
1 - 0
ATB
71%
18%
12%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 5
RMC
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
RMC
1 - 1
CEL
80%
13%
7%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |