RSD Alcalá vs Real Madrid C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
18.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
PEG
2 - 2
ALC
30%
26%
44%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
MEX
3 - 1
ALC
25%
26%
49%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -3 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
ALC
2 - 1
RMC
61%
23%
16%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
RVB
1 - 0
ALC
19%
26%
55%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
ALC
3 - 0
PBO
70%
20%
10%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
RMC
3 - 1
ADP
42%
26%
32%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
RMC
0 - 2
MST
54%
24%
23%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
ALC
2 - 1
RMC
61%
23%
16%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
RMC
1 - 0
LRZ
66%
20%
14%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
ADA
0 - 2
RMC
24%
25%
52%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |