RSD Alcalá vs CD Manchego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
10.1%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
17.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
12.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1978 |
ACF
1 - 0
ALC
49%
28%
23%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
ALC
2 - 0
SAL
65%
22%
13%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
LPA
2 - 4
ALC
65%
19%
16%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
ALC
2 - 0
TAL
66%
22%
13%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
ALC
0 - 0
ALC
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1978 |
MAN
3 - 0
GUA
69%
21%
9%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
MAN
4 - 1
ACF
60%
25%
15%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
SAL
1 - 0
MAN
60%
25%
16%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
MAN
2 - 1
LPA
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
TAL
2 - 0
MAN
54%
27%
19%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -2 |