RSD Alcalá vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
24.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
SPB
0 - 1
ALC
44%
28%
28%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
ALC
6 - 0
ASP
53%
27%
21%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1990 |
PON
0 - 0
ALC
58%
24%
18%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1990 |
ALC
1 - 0
ARO
56%
26%
18%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1990 |
ALC
1 - 0
CDO
37%
33%
31%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
LUG
1 - 0
PON
52%
26%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
GET
2 - 0
LUG
64%
24%
13%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1990 |
CDT
2 - 1
LUG
36%
31%
32%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1990 |
LUG
2 - 1
SPB
61%
23%
16%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1990 |
LUG
4 - 2
ASP
63%
24%
14%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |