RSD Alcalá vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.6%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.6%
32.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1950 |
AVI
2 - 2
ALC
73%
14%
14%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1950 |
ALC
4 - 0
ORI
63%
18%
19%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
CIE
3 - 2
ALC
63%
18%
20%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
ALC
3 - 1
TAL
61%
18%
21%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
RAY
2 - 1
ALC
86%
8%
5%
|
38 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1950 |
CDT
3 - 1
GUA
81%
11%
8%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1950 |
ALI
1 - 1
CDT
36%
20%
43%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
CDT
2 - 1
IMP
68%
16%
16%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
CDT
0 - 1
ELD
81%
11%
8%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
CDT
3 - 3
CDB
93%
5%
2%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |