RSD Alcalá vs CD Lugo Fuenlabrada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
10.9%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
PBO
2 - 2
ALC
30%
27%
43%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ALC
0 - 1
POZ
41%
28%
31%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ADP
0 - 2
ALC
46%
27%
26%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ALC
0 - 1
SFN
54%
26%
21%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
INT
4 - 1
ALC
46%
27%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
CD Lugo Fuenlabrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LUG
1 - 2
VAL
11%
19%
70%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
PNT
0 - 0
LUG
72%
19%
9%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
LUG
3 - 3
NAV
10%
19%
71%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CDM
0 - 0
LUG
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
PBO
2 - 0
LUG
61%
22%
16%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |