RSD Alcalá vs CD Ursaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
53.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
4º
16º
4º
65
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 7% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
96.5% | 93% |
|
Mid-table
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MEX
1 - 1
ALC
51%
24%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ALC
1 - 0
TRJ
38%
26%
36%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ALC
0 - 1
CDM
33%
27%
41%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ATM
0 - 0
ALC
28%
25%
46%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ALC
1 - 0
CAN
59%
23%
17%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD Ursaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
RMA
1 - 1
URS
30%
23%
47%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
URS
2 - 1
MEX
62%
21%
17%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
URS
4 - 0
TRJ
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CDM
0 - 1
URS
37%
25%
38%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
URS
3 - 0
ATM
73%
18%
10%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |