Tercera - Postupové Play Off Semi-finals
Global 1-3
RSD Alcalá vs SCD Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
36.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2018 |
SJU
2 - 3
ALC
33%
28%
39%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
ALC
1 - 0
SJU
51%
26%
23%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
ALC
2 - 1
PNT
66%
21%
13%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
INT
0 - 1
ALC
55%
25%
21%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2018 |
ALC
3 - 0
TRC
65%
21%
14%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2018 |
UBC
0 - 0
CDU
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
CDU
1 - 1
UBC
39%
27%
35%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
CDU
2 - 2
SFC
75%
17%
8%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
ALA
0 - 1
CDU
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
CDU
0 - 1
DEU
64%
21%
15%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |