Alcalá del Valle vs Federico Mayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
59.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcalá del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
ALC
0 - 3
CAS
14%
18%
68%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
ALC
1 - 3
CDC
35%
23%
42%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
7 - 0
ALC
85%
11%
5%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
ALC
0 - 0
CDV
19%
23%
58%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
CDE
7 - 0
ALC
78%
14%
9%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Federico Mayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
FED
2 - 0
NEX
66%
17%
17%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
FED
2 - 0
LIN
33%
22%
45%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 1
FED
66%
18%
17%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
FED
1 - 0
JSA
61%
19%
21%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CDC
2 - 4
FED
62%
19%
19%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +2 |