Alcalá del Valle vs San Bernardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
26.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcalá del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
1 - 0
ALC
24%
21%
56%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
ALC
3 - 1
MED
74%
15%
11%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
LOS
0 - 1
ALC
22%
21%
57%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ALC
5 - 0
FED
81%
12%
7%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 0
ALC
17%
18%
65%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
San Bernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CDS
2 - 0
SAL
40%
23%
37%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
PRA
2 - 1
CDS
42%
24%
34%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
CDS
4 - 2
SAN
77%
14%
9%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ESP
3 - 5
CDS
36%
25%
39%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
FAC
2 - 3
CDS
24%
21%
55%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |