Alcalá del Río CF vs Puebla CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcalá del Río CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
PIL
1 - 1
ALC
37%
24%
39%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
ALC
6 - 0
ELR
79%
14%
7%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ANT
1 - 1
ALC
15%
18%
67%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
ALC
2 - 1
UDV
44%
24%
32%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
BRE
1 - 2
ALC
26%
24%
50%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Puebla CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
PUE
6 - 2
ATL
29%
23%
48%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
UDM
4 - 2
PUE
67%
19%
15%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
PUE
4 - 3
NER
42%
24%
34%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
PIL
0 - 2
PUE
65%
19%
17%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
PUE
1 - 2
VIL
32%
22%
46%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |