Alcalá del Río CF vs UD Loreto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcalá del Río CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
AND
0 - 0
ALC
36%
25%
39%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
ALC
0 - 0
CAL
80%
12%
7%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
BEN
0 - 2
ALC
15%
21%
64%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ALC
2 - 1
UDR
69%
18%
13%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
PUE
0 - 1
ALC
31%
24%
45%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
UD Loreto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
LOR
3 - 0
ATL
57%
21%
22%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CDA
4 - 1
LOR
68%
18%
14%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
LOR
4 - 3
OLI
66%
19%
16%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
CAZ
1 - 1
LOR
54%
22%
24%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
UDS
1 - 3
LOR
39%
24%
37%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |