Alcala de Gurrea vs CD Castejón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
34.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+886%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcala de Gurrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
AGU
5 - 1
AYE
53%
20%
27%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
AAR
3 - 2
AGU
69%
17%
14%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
AGU
2 - 2
TEM
21%
20%
59%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ALM
4 - 3
AGU
62%
19%
19%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 2
BOL
21%
20%
59%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castejón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CDC
4 - 0
FRU
58%
20%
22%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
POS
1 - 2
CDC
31%
23%
46%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
CDC
3 - 1
AYE
45%
21%
34%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 1
CDC
83%
11%
6%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
CDC
0 - 0
AAR
26%
21%
54%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | +1 |