Alcalá de Guadaira vs Jerez Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
22.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcalá de Guadaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
SAN
0 - 1
AGU
33%
28%
39%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
AGU
1 - 0
BAL
57%
24%
18%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
NUE
1 - 0
AGU
23%
25%
52%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | -2 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
AGU
2 - 0
LUC
54%
24%
23%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
VVA
4 - 0
AGU
51%
26%
24%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Jerez Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
JER
1 - 2
SOL
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
COR
1 - 2
JER
52%
25%
23%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
JER
3 - 0
CRD
62%
22%
17%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
BAR
0 - 0
JER
48%
26%
26%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
JER
1 - 1
BOL
46%
26%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |